Tokayev's call for peace talks came alongside remarks on Kazakhstan's enduring strategic cooperation and alliance with Russia.
Days after Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev publicly suggested to Russian President Vladimir Putin that he freeze the conflict with Ukraine and return to the negotiating table, Putin signed a pair of executive orders paving the way to begin talks with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan to update their existing military-technical cooperation agreements.
These two events are not necessarily connected, but viewed together they serve to highlight the multidimensional relationships between the Central Asian states and Russia.
Tokayev met Putin in the Siberian city of Omsk for the Russia-Kazakhstan Forum of Interregional Cooperation on July 24-25. Speaking alongside Putin at the forum, Tokayev urged his Russian counterpart to return to the negotiating table.
“Perhaps it’s time to put this conflict on hold and return to the Istanbul 2.0 formula, since significant results have been achieved there,” Tokayev said, referring to talks hosted in the Turkish capital in March 2022 – shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion began – and again in May 2025.
That first round of talks in Istanbul in 2022, as Samuel Charap and Sergey Radchenko wrote in a 2024 article for Foreign Affairs, could have ended the war – but didn’t.
In other conflicts, such as Syria circa 2017, Kazakhstan has offered itself up as a mediator or a neutral venue.
On July 25, Tokayev rejected that prospect, stating plainly, “I refuse to be a mediator, because I know that Russia is a great country, the Russian people are a great people, and, as they say, they can manage on their own without intermediaries.”
Nevertheless, Tokayev said he decided to “express my humble opinion today because people know about our meeting, they know I’m supposed to be in Omsk, and they asked me to convey this.” Tokayev acknowledged that Russia and Ukraine hold different positions, but said that there was an opportunity “to put this whole matter on hold.”
“All of this must be stopped,” Tokayev said of the conflict. “[W]hat’s happening, in my firm opinion, plays into the hands and delights of the adversaries of both Russia and Ukraine.”
Tokayev walked a diplomatic tightrope, reiterating Kazakhstan’s close ties and alliance with Russia while also pushing for peace.
“Have no doubt, we have always considered and continue to consider Russia a great nation. We are committed to strategic cooperation with Russia and to an allied relationship, no matter how difficult it may be,” he said, before adding, “We have always treated the Ukrainian people with respect.”
“The nature of this conflict is not entirely clear to many, including us,” Tokayev said before complimenting Putin’s flexibility in Alaska – where he met with U.S. President Donald Trump in August 2025. What was agreed to in Alaska is, ironically, also unclear. Last month, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Russia and the United States did not reach any agreement in Alaska. Russian officials, however, continue to reference such agreements as a demonstration of Moscow’s ultimately potemkin willingness to pursue peace via negotiation.
In response to Tokayev’s comments, Putin reportedly replied that he would “inform Tokayev about the progress of affairs in the Ukrainian direction.”
Whether Tokayev’s nudge will yield productive talks is unclear. As reported by the Kyiv Independent, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov responded fairly negatively to Tokayev’s comments. He said “a freeze as such is impossible.”
“For us, there is a key condition: we must achieve our goals,” Peskov added.
Soon after Tokayaev’s comments, The Insider reported that two executive orders had been published via Moscow’s official legal information portal authorizing the Russian government to pursue negotiations with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan over their existing military-technical cooperation agreements: a December 24, 2013 agreement with Kazakhstan (ratified in 2015) and a November 29, 2016 treaty with Uzbekistan.
As The Insider summarized:
The existing treaties govern not only the sale of Russian weapons to these countries but also mutual deliveries of defense products, including weapons and military vehicles, military-technical information, technologies, intellectual property, services, design, engineering, and technological operational documentation. The agreements provide for the repair and modernization of armaments, joint research and development, the establishment of joint manufacturing facilities, and human capacity building.
It’s not clear from the orders what precisely Russia wants to renegotiate. In its report, TASS – the state-owned Russian news agency – simply noted that neither agreement has been updated since they were signed. The orders are a single paragraph each and serve to simply authorize negotiations on amending the relevant agreements.
The Ukraine war is most certainly the backdrop. Western sanctions have complicated exports between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, and Russia – in both directions. The European Union and the United States have banned the export of weapons and dual-use goods to Russia, which range from microchips to engines and drone parts. The militaries of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan primarily use Russian platforms, generating a line of potential leverage or at least shortage. In a recent report on Uzbekistan’s military, the Oxus Society for Central Asian Affairs noted, “The Uzbek Ground Forces possess one of the largest stockpiles of Russian and Soviet military equipment outside of Russia…” Uzbekistan, the same report said, does not “produce enough ammunition and supplies to meet its basic peacetime requirements and remains largely reliant on nations like Russia to keep its forces operational.”
In the tangled web of relations between the Central Asian states and Russia, Ukraine produces a kind of rorschach test: the perspective of the viewer, their biases and position, influences how they view a chain of events or interpret certain statements. Tokayev’s push for peace in Ukraine sits somewhat uncomfortably alongside Kazakhstan’s strategic alliance with Russia. How amending their military-technical agreement progresses will add more ink to the picture, but may not clarify the image.
| # | Наименование новости | Тональность | Информативность | Дата публикации |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kazakh President Tokayev’s ‘Humble’ Query for Peace | 0 | 11.88 | 30-07-2026 |
| 2 | Токаев призвал к нерушимости дружбы Казахстана и России | 0 | 0 | 12-11-2025 |
| 3 | Токаев заявил, что Казахстан и Россия являются союзниками | 0 | 0 | 21-08-2021 |
| 4 | Песков: частые контакты Путина и Токаева нормальны с учетом партнерства стран | 0 | 0 | 11-11-2025 |
| 5 | Токаев призвал Путина заморозить конфликт РФ и Украины и вернуться к переговорам в Стамбуле | 0 | 7.75 | 25-07-2026 |
| 6 | Казахстан привержен стратегическому сотрудничеству с Россией, заявил Токаев | 0 | 4.44 | 25-07-2026 |
| 7 | Токаев отметил динамичный рост взаимоотношений между Россией и Казахстаном | 0 | 0 | 19-08-2021 |
| 8 | Токаев заверил Путина, что считал и считает Россию великим государством | 0 | 8.01 | 25-07-2026 |
| 9 | Токаев заявил о приоритетном значении укрепления союзнических отношений с Россией | 0 | 0 | 03-12-2020 |
| 10 | Токаев призвал к политической гибкости для разрешения конфликта на Украине | 0 | 0 | 23-09-2025 |