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As the 2026 Midterms Approach, Economy Is Front and Center

Дата публикации: 23-07-2026 16:55:46

Americans are now almost evenly split over which party they most agree with on economic policies: 37% say the Democrats, while 36% say the GOP.

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About this research

This Pew Research Center analysis examines views of Congress and issues for the upcoming midterm elections, including the economy.

Why did we do this?

Pew Research Center conducts research to help the public, media and decision-makers understand important topics. We have studied Americans’ views of politics and major policy issues for decades.

Learn more about Pew Research Center.  

How did we do this?

We surveyed 3,554 U.S. adults from July 6 to 12, 2026. Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of the Center’s American Trends Panel. The survey represents the views of the full U.S. adult population.

Here are the survey questions used for this analysis, the detailed responses and the survey methodology.

By a wide margin, voters most want candidates running for Congress to talk about economic issues – with many specifically mentioning prices and affordability.


Economic issues are top of mind for voters in the midterms this year

What one issue would you most like to hear the candidates running for Congress in your district talk about during the campaign? (open end, % among registered voters)

Chart

Note: Based on registered voters. Only response options that made up 4% or more of responses are shown here. Refer to topline for full question wording and response list.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER



Economic issues are top of mind for voters in the midterms this year

What one issue would you most like to hear the candidates running for Congress in your district talk about during the campaign? (open end, % among registered voters)

Category%Group
NET Economy29subgroup
Cost of living/Affordability15subgroup
General economy7subgroup
Taxes4subgroup
Government ethics and reform9group
Immigration7group
Healthcare5group
Foreign policy4group
Trump4group

Note: Based on registered voters. Only response options that made up 4% or more of responses are shown here. Refer to topline for full question wording and response list.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER


But with the November elections on the horizon, neither party is seen as having an advantage on these issues. Americans are now almost evenly split over which party they most agree with on economic policies: 37% say the Democratic Party, while 36% say the Republican Party.

At this early stage, Democrats have both an edge in voters’ congressional candidate preferences and an engagement advantage among their coalition. Among registered voters:

  • 43% say they would back a Democratic candidate for Congress if the election were held today, while 37% would back a Republican. Two-in-ten say they are not sure or would back another candidate.
  • 70% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say “it really matters” which party controls Congress in November, while 60% of Republicans and Republican leaners say the same.
  • 39% of Democrats have thought a lot about the election, compared with 22% of Republicans.

At a similar stage of the 2022 midterm campaign, Republicans held a modest edge on both engagement measures.

These are among the key findings of a new Pew Research Center survey conducted from July 6 to 12 among 3,554 U.S. adults, including 2,779 registered voters. The survey also finds that President Donald Trump looms large in the campaign. Most voters say the president is a factor in their vote – though by roughly two-to-one, voters are more likely to say they think of their vote this fall as a vote against Trump (42%) than to say they think of it as a vote for him (22%).

Views of Trump are a bigger factor for voters today than views of then-President Joe Biden were at a similar point four years ago.


Most voters say Trump is a factor in their midterm vote, including 42% who view their vote in opposition

% of registered voters who think about their vote for Congress this fall as …

Chart

Note: Based on registered voters. No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER



Most voters say Trump is a factor in their midterm vote, including 42% who view their vote in opposition

% of registered voters who think about their vote for Congress this fall as …

Against TrumpFor TrumpTrump is not much of a factor
All registered voters422235
Rep/Lean Rep54450
Dem/Lean Dem81118

Note: Based on registered voters. No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER


Democrats overwhelmingly say they consider their vote for Congress this fall a vote against Trump – 81% view their vote this way.

In contrast, half of Republicans say Trump is not much of a factor in their vote, while 44% say their vote is a vote for him.

Views of the parties on key issues

Before the start of Trump’s second term, Americans were more likely to agree with the Republican Party than the Democratic Party on economic policy. Continuing a trend since Trump took office, the public is now about evenly split (37% say they agree with Democratic Party, 36% the Republican Party).


Neither party holds a clear advantage on economic policy

% who say they agree with __ on the following policy issues

Chart

Note: No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER



Neither party holds a clear advantage on economic policy

% who say they agree with __ on the following policy issues

The Democratic PartyThe Republican PartyNeitherR-D advantage
Crime policy294325R+14
Immigration policy364121R+5
Policies related to the use of military force353627R+1
Policies related to AI222351R+1
Economic policy373625D+1
Foreign policy363528D+1
Policies to deal with the budget deficit333133D+2
Policies related to LGBT people373427D+3
Education policy413225D+9
Abortion policy423224D+10
Healthcare policy422828D+14
Environment and climate policy443024D+14

Note: No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER


Similarly, Republicans no longer hold an advantage on policies to deal with the budget deficit.

For more on Americans’ economic views, including views of the impact of Trump’s economic policies on the economy, jump to “Americans’ evaluations of the economy remain negative.

Neither party has an advantage on foreign policy or policies related to the use of military force, or on policies related to lesbian, gay or transgender people – a Democratic strength in 2022 and 2023.

And when it comes to policies to deal with artificial intelligence, 51% of adults say they agree with neither party.

Areas where Republicans hold an advantage

Americans continue to be more likely to agree with the Republican Party (43%) than the Democratic Party (29%) on policies to deal with crime.

Republicans also hold a 5 percentage point edge on immigration policy. This compares with a 9-point Republican advantage in September.

Areas where Democrats hold an advantage

Democrats hold 14-point advantages on both healthcare and environmental policy, a 10-point advantage on abortion policy, and a 9-point advantage on education policy.

Other key findings

Trump’s approval rating stands at 34%, while 64% of Americans say they disapprove of his job performance – unchanged since April. About seven-in-ten Republicans (69%) currently approve of his performance, while roughly three-in-ten (29%) disapprove. Democrats continue to overwhelmingly disapprove of his performance (93% disapprove, 6% approve).


Voters who disapprove of Trump, but not strongly, are divided in House candidate preferences

% of registered voters who say that if the election were held today, they would vote for/lean toward the __ for the U.S. House of Representatives in their district

Chart

Note: Based on registered voters. No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER



Voters who disapprove of Trump, but not strongly, are divided in House candidate preferences

% of registered voters who say that if the election were held today, they would vote for/lean toward the __ for the U.S. House of Representatives in their district

GroupRepublican candidateDemocratic candidateAnother candidateNot sureNET Another candidate/Not sure
All registered votersAll374351420
Approve very strongly (26%)Among those who ___ of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president882189
Approve not so strongly (11%)Among those who ___ of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president73242125
Disapprove not so strongly (12%)Among those who ___ of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president3131102838
Disapprove very strongly (49%)Among those who ___ of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president57671218

Note: Based on registered voters. No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER


The narrow slice of registered voters who disapprove of Trump, but not strongly (12%), are split in their midterm preferences: 31% back Republicans, 31% back Democrats. And many (28%) say they are not sure, while 10% back “another candidate.” In contrast, voters who approve of Trump back Republican candidates in the fall by an overwhelming margin, while those who strongly disapprove of Trump largely back Democrats.

Demographic differences in voters’ midterm preferences largely track patterns familiar to past elections. Today, Republican candidates have a 10 percentage point edge among White voters, while Democrats hold wider advantages among Hispanic, Black and Asian voters.

For more on demographic differences in candidate support, jump to “Midterm voting preferences by race and ethnicity, age, and other demographics” and explore the detailed tables.


Views of Congress are near record lows

% of have a(n) __ view of Congress

Chart

Note: No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER



Views of Congress are near record lows

% of have a(n) __ view of Congress

DateFavorableUnfavorable
8/4/193564
1/19/203365
8/2/203563
4/12/213661
1/17/222870
8/14/223166
4/2/232672
7/16/232672
12/3/232374
7/7/243068
4/13/253464
8/1/253265
7/12/262572

Note: No answer responses are not shown.

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.

PEW RESEARCH CENTER


Just a quarter of Americans now hold favorable views of Congress. Current ratings are near record lows and down from 32% last August. Republicans (35%) remain more likely than Democrats (16%) to view Congress positively.

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