The National Hurricane Center in Miami began advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal Wednesday as additional areas in the Atlantic could be primed for possible development later this week.
Cristobal, the third system of the 2026 season, is currently in the central tropical Atlantic waters and moving east-northeast at 16 mph. With 40 mph winds and an elongated structure, it poses no threat to the United States.
Tropical Storm Cristobal on Aug. 12, 2026.
In the days ahead, the system is not expected to intensify nor bring any impacts to the Azores. As the system treks east, it is forecast to rapidly weaken in the next one to two days.
Looking south in the tropical Atlantic, the most likely area to develop into a tropical depression is a vigorous wave with an 80% chance for formation in the next two days.
The tropical wave will move towards the Lesser Antilles into the weekend, remaining just south of any fierce wind shear that may disrupt growth in the short term.
However, the current long-range trajectories will keep the system away from the United States while possibly enhancing shower coverage across the Caribbean where it’s desperately needed.
Puerto Rico’s ongoing drought and water rationing guidelines would benefit from any passing shower this wave, or potential tropical depression, could deliver.
Ok, 92L, interesting play overnight.
80% chance for development over the next few days.
First thought is… if we can squeeze some rain 🌧️out, minus any tropical drama, this could be beneficial to the Caribbean. pic.twitter.com/WUOuxU7S6P— Ryan Phillips – NBC6 (@RyanNBC6) August 12, 2026
The second area to watch is just behind the aforementioned wave. Currently tagged with a “medium” chance for organization over the next 7 days, it’s possible that development chances may rise later this week and through the weekend as it moves westward across the low latitude Atlantic waters.
Should either of these two systems mature and acquire a name, Dolly is the fourth name on this year’s Atlantic basin list.
Across the tropics we’re entering the stretch of the season when the Atlantic historically becomes more productive. Although the climatological peak isn’t until around September 10, South Florida’s long term tropical cyclone risk steadily increases over the next several weeks.
For now, neither disturbance appears likely to have any meaningful impact on South Florida. However, this is the time of year when paying attention becomes increasingly important.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami began advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal Wednesday as additional areas in the Atlantic could be primed for possible development later this week.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami began advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal Wednesday as additional areas in the Atlantic could be primed for possible development later this week.
Cristobal, the third system of the 2026 season, is currently in the central tropical Atlantic waters and moving east-northeast at 16 mph. With 40 mph winds and an elongated structure, it poses no threat to the United States.

Tropical Storm Cristobal on Aug. 12, 2026.
In the days ahead, the system is not expected to intensify nor bring any impacts to the Azores. As the system treks east, it is forecast to rapidly weaken in the next one to two days.
Looking south in the tropical Atlantic, the most likely area to develop into a tropical depression is a vigorous wave with an 80% chance for formation in the next two days.
National Hurricane Center
The tropical wave will move towards the Lesser Antilles into the weekend, remaining just south of any fierce wind shear that may disrupt growth in the short term.
However, the current long-range trajectories will keep the system away from the United States while possibly enhancing shower coverage across the Caribbean where it’s desperately needed.
Puerto Rico’s ongoing drought and water rationing guidelines would benefit from any passing shower this wave, or potential tropical depression, could deliver.
— Ryan Phillips - NBC6 (@RyanNBC6) August 12, 2026Ok, 92L, interesting play overnight.
80% chance for development over the next few days.
First thought is... if we can squeeze some rain 🌧️out, minus any tropical drama, this could be beneficial to the Caribbean. pic.twitter.com/WUOuxU7S6P
The second area to watch is just behind the aforementioned wave. Currently tagged with a "medium" chance for organization over the next 7 days, it’s possible that development chances may rise later this week and through the weekend as it moves westward across the low latitude Atlantic waters.

Should either of these two systems mature and acquire a name, Dolly is the fourth name on this year’s Atlantic basin list.
Across the tropics we’re entering the stretch of the season when the Atlantic historically becomes more productive. Although the climatological peak isn't until around September 10, South Florida's long term tropical cyclone risk steadily increases over the next several weeks.
For now, neither disturbance appears likely to have any meaningful impact on South Florida. However, this is the time of year when paying attention becomes increasingly important.
| # | Наименование новости | Тональность | Информативность | Дата публикации |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Hurricane Center focuses on Central Atlantic for possible development | 0 | 6.38 | 10-08-2026 |
| 2 | Forecasters watching potential tropical system in the Gulf | 0 | 10.87 | 15-07-2026 |
| 3 | CSU's updated hurricane season forecast calls for fewer storms in 2026 | 0 | 19.02 | 10-06-2026 |
| 4 | It's the start of hurricane season: What to expect | 0 | 15.23 | 01-06-2026 |
| 5 | NOAA reveals outlook for 2026 Atlantic hurricane season | 0 | 10.01 | 21-05-2026 |
| 6 | Atlantic hurricane season ramps up: What South Florida residents need to know | 0 | 7.3 | 09-08-2026 |
| 7 | El Niño locks in, with impacts to hurricane season and South Florida weather likely | 0 | 6.06 | 10-07-2026 |
| 8 | Hurricane Season: July has produced impactful storms but 2026 won't support it | 0 | 6.38 | 07-07-2026 |
| 9 | National Hurricane Center to test a higher confidence forecast cone this season | 0 | 9.76 | 24-03-2026 |
| 10 | Hurricane Season 2026: NBC6's guide for South Florida residents | 0 | 11.9 | 01-06-2026 |