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СпутникиРНSpaceXРоскосмосNASASlightly Stronger But There's a Catch
Bonds had a decent day with MBS up more than a quarter point and 10yr yields down 3bps to 4.54+. While that adds some emphasis to the rejection of a technical breakout above 4.59%, we can't really conclude that it happened for any bond-specific reasons. In fact, we're forced to conclude that bonds are on auto-pilot for the most part and that oil prices are the key input for now. As was the case in June, we know this correlation isn't permanent, but it's been highly reliable during this resurgence of U.S./Iran tensions.
Econ Data / Events
Jobless Claims (Jul)/04
215.0K vs 218K f'cast, 215K prev
Market Movement Recap
09:21 AM Fairly flat overnight and just a hair stronger now. MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down just under 1bp at 4.566
12:35 PM Additional gains, still correlated with oil prices. MBS up 9 ticks (.28) and 10yr down 3bps at 4.543
03:35 PM Off best levels, but still stronger. MBS up 11 ticks (.34) and 10yr down 3bps at 4.543
| # | Наименование новости | Тональность | Информативность | Дата публикации |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Some Bond-Specific Weakness in The Afternoon | 0 | 5 | 10-07-2026 |
| 2 | Oil and Yields Starting Out Slightly Lower | 0 | 3 | 09-07-2026 |
| 3 | Empty Calendar Leaves Focus on War Headlines | 0 | 5 | 10-07-2026 |
| 4 | Rates Recover Modestly | 1 | 5 | 09-07-2026 |
| 5 | Mortgage Rates End Week Roughly Unchanged | 0 | 5 | 10-07-2026 |
| 6 | 10-year Treasury yield is little changed as traders weigh new U.S. inflation data | 0 | 7 | 31-07-2025 |
| 7 | 5 things to know before the Thursday open: Microsoft tops $4 trillion | Fed decision dissent | More metal tariffs | 0 | 7 | 31-07-2025 |
| 8 | Πιέσεις στις ασιατικές αγορές, ανοδικά το πετρέλαιο | -2 | 6 | 08-05-2026 |
| 9 | ❗Ситуация в моменте: Давайте просто разберем что произошло за последние ... | 0 | 6 | 29-06-2026 |
| 10 | Oil falls below $71 as US-Iran talks continue, Gulf exports rebound | 0 | 5 | 02-07-2026 |